Container Freight Rates Rebound After Lunar New Year — But Hormuz Tensions Cloud the Outlook

04.03.2026

Global container freight rates are showing signs of recovery as Asian factories resume production following the Lunar New Year holidays. According to Drewry, the composite World Container Index (WCI) increased by 3% to $1,958 per 40-foot container, marking the first rise after seven consecutive weeks of decline.

The rebound is most visible on transpacific routes:

— Shanghai–Los Angeles rates climbed 10% to $2,402

— Shanghai–New York increased 7% to $2,977

Meanwhile, Asia–Europe lanes remain weaker:

— Shanghai–Rotterdam fell 2% to $2,052

— Shanghai–Genoa edged up just 1% to $2,844

As manufacturing activity in Asia picks up, carriers are gradually returning vessels to service and reducing the number of blank sailings.

However, escalating tensions in the Middle East and security risks around the Strait of Hormuz could quickly reintroduce volatility into the market. Higher war-risk insurance premiums, potential delays, and vessel rerouting may all influence freight rates.

For the container shipping market, this creates a fragile balance between seasonal demand recovery and geopolitical risk — a combination that could rapidly shift freight pricing and vessel availability.